Nifty 50, Sensex Today: What to Expect from the Indian Stock Market on February 20, 2025
Sensex Today : As we approach the trading session on Thursday, February 20, 2025, the Indian stock market is poised for a cautious opening. Benchmark indices, the Nifty 50 and the Sensex, are expected to open lower, influenced by subdued trends in Asian markets and prevailing investor wariness.
Pre-Market Indicators
- The Gift Nifty was trading around 22,900, reflecting a discount of nearly 64 points from the Nifty futures’ previous close.
- This suggests a negative bias for the upcoming session.
Previous Session Recap
- Sensex: Fell 28.21 points to close at 75,939.18.
- Nifty 50: Dropped 12.40 points to settle at 22,932.90.
- Market breadth was positive for the first time in nine sessions, with an advance-decline ratio of 2.44 on the BSE—the highest since January 29, 2025.
Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators
Key Market Trends
- The Nifty 50 has declined 13% since its peak in September 2024.
- Corporate earnings growth has slowed, with Nifty 50 companies reporting just a 5% increase in profits for Q3 (October-December 2024).
- India’s economic growth is expected to slow to 6.4% for the fiscal year, a four-year low.
- Foreign investors have offloaded $25 billion in Indian stocks since September 2024.
Technical Analysis and Predictions
Nifty 50 Outlook
- Support Levels: 22,800 and 22,500 (highest Put Open Interest).
- Resistance Levels: 23,100 and 23,500 (highest Call Open Interest).
Expert Insights
✅ Vinay Rajani, Senior Analyst, HDFC Securities:
- “Nifty 50 must surpass 23,000 (5-day EMA) to show signs of reversal.”
- “A breakout above 23,100 could push the index towards 23,235.”
- “On the downside, falling below 22,725 may resume the downtrend.”
✅ Om Mehra, Technical Analyst, SAMCO Securities:
- “The Nifty 50 breached 23,049.95 intraday, indicating a shift in momentum.”
- “The 9 EMA at 23,150 is a major hurdle; a decisive close above could signal strength.”
- “Market volatility has declined (India VIX below 16), and breadth is improving.”
- Support: 22,780, Resistance: 23,150 and 23,250.
✅ VLA Ambala, Co-Founder, Stock Market Today:
- “Nifty 50 has formed a High Wave Doji candlestick pattern on the daily chart.”
- “Expect support between 22,705 – 22,620, with resistance at 23,080 – 23,170.”
Bank Nifty Outlook
The Bank Nifty showed strong gains in the last session:
- Closed at: 49,570.10 (+482.80 points, +0.98%)
- Formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern → Strengthening positive outlook
Expert Insights
✅ Om Mehra, Technical Analyst, SAMCO Securities:
- “Bank Nifty is hovering near the 20 EMA, with the 50 EMA at 50,000.”
- “A breakout above 50,000 could trigger bullish momentum.”
- “Daily RSI at 50 shows improving strength; MACD is close to a positive crossover.”
- Support: 49,000, Resistance: 50,100 and 50,550.
Key Financial Ratios
Index | P/E Ratio | P/B Ratio | Dividend Yield (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Nifty 50 | 20.5 | 3.2 | 1.5% |
Bank Nifty | 18.7 | 2.5 | 1.8% |
📌 P/E Ratio: Price-to-Earnings Ratio | P/B Ratio: Price-to-Book Ratio
Conclusion
As the Indian stock market navigates uncertain economic conditions and global trends, investors should remain cautious.
- Key Resistance Levels: 23,100 (Nifty 50), 50,000 (Bank Nifty)
- Key Support Levels: 22,800 (Nifty 50), 49,000 (Bank Nifty)
- Volatility (India VIX) is easing, suggesting a potential recovery.
Investors should monitor key technical levels and macroeconomic factors to make informed decisions. 📊📈
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Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.